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Election 2010: Alaska Governor Alaska Governor: Parnell (R) Remains Front-Runner

Saturday, October 16, 2010 - Republican incumbent Sean Parnell continues to clear the 50% mark and hold a double-digit lead over Democrat Ethan Berkowitz in Alaska's gubernatorial race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Parnell earning 52% of the vote, while Berkowitz receives 39% support.  Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The race remains Solid Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Gubernatorial Scorecard.

Last month, Parnell held a 20-point advantage over Berkowitz, 54% to 34%. In surveys dating back to May, Parnell has consistently led Berkowitz, with support ranging from 52% to 58%.  In those same surveys, Berkowitz has picked up anywhere from 30% to 43% of the vote. 

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Parnell, who became governor following Sarah Palin's resignation last year, is backed by 78% of Republicans in the state.  Eighty-four percent (84%) of Democrats support Berkowitz.  Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Berkowitz leads by nine points.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of all voters in Alaska approve of the job Parnell is doing as governor, while 39% disapprove of his job performance.

Sixty-two percent (62%) share a favorable opinion of Parnell, while 36% view him unfavorably.  These numbers include 24% Very Favorable and 12% Very Unfavorable.

For Berkowitz, favorables add up to 48% and unfavorables 47%, including 21% Very Favorable and 25% Very Unfavorable.

Twenty-four percent (24%) of Alaska voters consider themselves members of the Tea Party movement, higher than the national average.  Sixty-six percent (66%) do not consider themselves members of that movement, while 10% are not sure.

Parnell draws support from 77% of Tea Partiers in the state and 40% of non members.  Fifty-one percent (51%) of non-Tea Party voters favor Berkowitz.

Nine percent (9%) of all Alaska voters rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, but 51% think it's in poor shape. Thirty-one percent (31%) say the economy is getting better, while 46% think it's getting worse.

Among voters who say the economy is improving, 77% favor Berkowitz.  Seventy-six percent (76%) of those voters who feel the economy is getting worse support Parnell.

Most voters in the state continue to favor repeal of the national health care law, and 56% think states should be allowed to opt out of portions of the law.

Rasmussen Reports also has released recent polls on the 2010 governor's races in Alabama, Arizona, ColoradoCalifornia, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. To learn more about our methodology, click here.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in Alaska was conducted on October 13, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Survey of 500 Likely Voters
October 13, 2010

Election 2010: Alaska Governor

Sean Parnell (R)

52%

Ethan Berkowitz (D)

39%

Some Other Candidate

5%

Not sure

5%


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