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45% of GOP Primary Voters Say It's Bad for Party If Palin Enters Presidential Race


A plurality of Republican primary voters think it would be good for Texas Governor Rick Perry to jump into the party's presidential race and bad for the party if former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin joined the field. They are evenly divided about former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 36% of Likely GOP Primary Voters think it would be good for Republicans if Palin enters the race, but 45% believe it would be bad for the party. Just 11% say it would have no impact. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Thirty-six percent (36%) also feel it would be good for the GOP if Perry enters the race. Only 21% say it would be bad for the party, while 26% think it would have no impact. Sixteen percent (16%) are not sure.

As for Giuliani, best known for his leadership in the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, 38% of likely primary voters believe it would be good for their party if he joins the presidential race. Nearly as many (35%), however, see his candidacy as bad for the GOP. Nineteen percent (19%) say it would have no impact.

Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney continues to lead the race for the Republican nomination, but Michele Bachmann has surged into second place following her Monday night entry into the campaign.

Among Tea Party members who are likely primary voters, 49% say it would be good for the GOP if Palin enters the race, while 33% think it would be bad for the party. Fifty-three percent (53%) of Tea Party members like the idea of Perry in the race, but just 36% feel that way about Giuliani.

As for those who are not part of the Tea Party movement, 57% see a Palin candidacy as bad for the GOP. Non-members are much more closely divided about Perry and Giuliani getting into the race.

Conservative primary voters are almost evenly divided over Palin running, but they like the idea of a Perry candidacy best.

Evangelical Christians are more positive about Palin running than they are about Perry and Giuliani getting in the race and are more supportive of the former Alaska governor that those of other religious faiths.

In January, 46% of likely primary voters who favor Palin said they are at least somewhat likely to vote third-party if she isn't nominated. But 33% of all Republican primary voters said at that time that they hope Palin isn't the GOP nominee.

Romney is the only Republican 2012 hopeful that a sizable number of all voters considers qualified to be president, but Perry and Giuliani were not included in this survey. Palin is the one they view as least qualified.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Texas voters held a favorable opinion of Perry just before last November's election when he was reelected to an unprecedented third full term as governor. Fifty-four percent (54%) approved of the job he was doing.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of New York voters expressed a favorable view of Giuliani in November 2009 when he was considering a run for governor. At that time, he was virtually tied with the eventual Democratic winner of the race, Andrew Cuomo.

Rasmussen Reports is an electronic media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion polling information.  We poll on a variety of topics in the fields of politics, business and lifestyle, updating our site's content on a news cycle throughout the day, everyday.

Rasmussen Reports Platinum Members get an all-access pass to polling news, analysis and insight not available to the general public.

Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, has been an independent pollster for more than a decade. To learn more about our methodology, click here.

The survey of 1,000 Likely GOP Primary Voters was conducted on June 14, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. Likely GOP Primary Voters include both Republicans and unaffiliated voters likely to vote in a GOP Primary. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

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©2011 Rasmussen Reports, LLC
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