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Alaska Natural Gas Pipeline Not Constructed in Annual Energy Outlook 2011 Early Release Report of Projections through 2035


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Glossary ‹ Analysis & Projections AEO2011 Early Release Overview Release Date: December 16, 2010   |  Full Report Release Date: March 2011   |   Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383ER(2011)

This release is an abridged version of the Annual Energy Outlook that highlights changes in the AEO Reference case projections for key energy topics. The Early Release includes data tables for the Reference case only. The full AEO2011 will be released March 2011.

Download the AEO2011 Early Release Report

From page 8 of the AEO2011 Early Release Report
"The Alaska natural gas pipeline, expected to be completed in 2023 in the AEO2010 Reference case, is not constructed in the AEO2011 Reference case. This change is a result of increased capital cost assumptions and lower natural gas wellhead prices, which make it uneconomical to proceed with the project over the projection period."

Introduction aeo_cover.jpg
In preparing the AEO2011, EIA evaluated a wide range of trends and issues that could have major implications for U.S. energy markets. This overview focuses primarily on one case, the AEO2011 Reference case, which is presented and compared with the AEO2010 Reference case released in December 2009 (see Table 1). Because of the uncertainties inherent in any energy market projection, the Reference case results should not be viewed in isolation. Readers are encouraged to review the alternative cases when the complete AEO2011 publication is released in order to gain perspective on how variations in key assumptions can lead to different outlooks for energy markets.

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Key Changes from Previous AEO Key updates that were made for the AEO2011 Reference case include:

  • Significant update of the technically recoverable U.S. shale gas resources, more than doubling the volume of shale gas resources assumed in AEO2010, and also added new shale oil resources
  • Revision of the methodology for determining natural gas prices to better reflect a lessening of the influence of oil prices on natural gas prices, in part because of the increase in shale gas supply and improvements in natural gas extraction technologies
  • Update of the data and assumptions for off shore oil and gas production, pushing out the start of production for a number of projects as a result of the six-month drilling moratoria, and delaying Atlantic and Pacific off shore leasing beyond 2017
  • Increase of the limit for blending ethanol into gasoline for approved vehicles from 10 percent to 15 percent, as a result of the waiver granted by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in October 2010
  • Expanded the number of electricity regions from 13 to 22, allowing better regional representation of market structure and power flow
  • Update of the costs for new power plants
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Sections Press Conference Press release |   Video |   Presentation

Data Tables Reference Case Summary & Detailed Tables A1 Total Energy Supply and Disposition Demand A2 Energy Consumption by Sector and Source A3 Energy Prices by Sector and Source A4 Residential Sector Key Indicators and Consumption A5 Commercial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption A6 Industrial Sector Key Indicators and Consumption A7 Transportation Sector Key Indicators and Delivered Energy Consumption A8 Electricity Supply, Disposition, Prices, and Emissions A9 Electricity Generating Capacity A10 Electricity Trade View More ›

graph.jpgInteractive Table Viewer ›
Provides custom data views of the AEO2011 Reference case and as compared to the AEO2010 Reference case. All available cases can be charted and the data for them downloaded.

About the Annual Energy Outlook Previous Editions of the AEO 20102009200820072006See all Documentation and Assumptions

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